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March 28, 2006
CA-50: Busby & The Brick Wall
I want to be clear up front that I've been extremely impressed with Busby, she's run a tight campaign and her numbers are impressive considering the handicap she's working against. But the reality that I think that the blogosphere is failing to grasp is that we are dealing with Republicans here. People that vote Republican can't be reasoned with, no amount of evidence causes them to change their minds. Every Republican candidate for office could confess any number of crimes the day before the election and the results would come out the same in the end. These people aren't limited by our morality and decency. It's really time to stop pretending that they are going to wake up one day and suddenly start caring about America. It's just not in your average Republican's DNA. They really hate this country and I don't think that's being taken seriously. If you have a district with 54% Republican registration, that is a guarantee that the Democrat won't be able to get the necessary 50% of the vote to win. Republicans hate America too much to vote against their hate ideology that binds them all together. There is no amount of work that can be done to convince them otherwise. I think the Brick Wall the Republicans are joking about is the fact that they know that Republican voters are broken glass voters. They would happily crawl across broken glass to make sure that no Democrat is allowed to actually represent them. The Republicans will happily steal and abuse them and they will sit there like fools screaming for more. It's just the kind of people that Republicans are.
Two weeks out I'm betting that Busby will get 40% of the vote on election day in two weeks and in the runoff she will lose getting only 43% of the vote. No matter what the Republican candidates do and no matter what she does. It's just the way things are with Republicans. If she could pull off 44% or maybe 46% I would be happy. The important part is that the race is being run well enough and is burning through Republican resources. And that makes the race important, but even that exercise is a bit on the futile side since the Republicans are funding themselves with the public treasury so the reality is that we are unlikely to even run them low when push comes to shove. But the fight must be fought and I wish Busby all the luck in the world. Maybe the Republican primary will be so ugly that it will suppress Republican turn out in June, but that's how you get the 44% to 46% numbers.
Read more over at Daily Kos.
Posted by ManDrake at March 28, 2006 2:27 PM
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